Pakenham

Today, October 18, 2024Flat7fHeavy

Verdict

BELLE INFERNO (1) is a danger. She's been good at two runs back from a spell and looks set to peak getting to a mile third up. She too drops in class and looks well placed. WILD AND FREE (3) notched up her second career win last start at Tatura in this grade. Takes on a few capable types here but is in form. FINALE (6) broke her maiden easily as a short-priced favourite last time and can measure up. OUTCASTER (12) might be an improver and worth including at odds.

1. Belle Inferno
3. Wild And Free
6. Finale

Win Only

1. 1. Belle Inferno
J: LUKE CARTWRIGHTT: CIARON MAHER
F: 14x44
Price History:
2.50
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
28
Verdict
Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 4th of 10 at Geelong Bm64 on September 1 over 1325m, 2 len behind Willmott with 57kg at $9. Last start 4th of 8 at Ballarat F&M Bm64 on September 20 over 1500m, on a slow track; 1.3 len behind Extreme Virtue carrying 59kg at $8.50. She is right in this.
7. 7. Fine Rebel
J: PATRICK MOLONEYT: JOHN MOLONEY
F: 65972
Price History:
3.25
Age:
5
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
60
Days Since Last Run:
15
Verdict
At the latest run 2nd of 13 at Ballarat Bm58 on October 3 over 1600m, 1.75 len behind Bower Boy with 59kg at $7. The run before that from last on the turn second last of 8 at Ballarat F&M Bm64 on September 20 over 1500m, slow going 3.5 len behind Extreme Virtue with 59kg at $12. Finds a few better today. Needs to take another step to compete against these.
3. 3. Wild And Free
J: LACHLAN KINGT: MS N M BURKE
F: 91741
Price History:
6.00
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
17
Verdict
Going well. Last start won by a nose at Tatura F&M Bm58 October 1 over 1450m defeating Moon Yanco carrying 60kg at $8. The run before that crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 11 at Donald 0 - 58 on September 14 over 1356m, 2.5 len behind Murray Factor with 58kg at $15. In the mix.
10. 10. Grand Touraine
J: RHYS MCLEODT: MICHAEL NOLAN
F: 52200
Price History:
7.50
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
56
Days Since Last Run:
18
12. 12. Outcaster
J: BEN ALLENT: RACHAEL CUNNINGHAM
F: 30x20
Price History:
9.50
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
55
Days Since Last Run:
18
Verdict
Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up settled towards the rear 2nd of 10 at Bairnsdale F&M Bm58 on September 9 over 1200m, 1.0 len behind A Penny Spent with 59.5kg at $8.50. Last start raced on the pace before fading 10th of 12 at Moe Bm58 on September 30 over 1619m, slow going 7 len behind Gracious Diva carrying 57.5kg at $7. Can improve.
9. 9. Gracious Diva
J: JASON MASKIELLT: SUSIE WELLS
F: 70891
Price History:
10.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
57
Days Since Last Run:
18
Verdict
At the latest run won by 0.8 len at Moe Bm58 September 30 over 1619m on a soft track defeating Sir Rockford with 55.5kg at $26. The race before that 9th of 13 at Bairnsdale 0 - 58 on September 22 over 1600m, 4 len behind Laugh With Me carrying 52.5kg at $16. Unlikely to threaten.
14. 14. Stellar Style
J: TEODORE NUGENTT: ANDREA LEEK
F: x57x9
Price History:
17.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
49
Days Since Last Run:
8
Verdict
Second-up. First-up after two months 9th of 11 at Mornington F&M Bm64 on October 10 over 1500m, 4.5 len behind Trial By Press carrying 52kg at $81. Previously second-up 7th of 14 at Hamilton 0 - 58 on August 3 over 1400m, in the wet; 6 len behind Adrett with 54kg at $15. Looking to others.
13. 13. Aureus Miss
J: MS CARLEEN HEFELT: DIANNE CLOVER
F: x7708
Price History:
51.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
50
Days Since Last Run:
54
Verdict
Returns from a 54-day let-up. At the latest run 8th of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm58 on August 25 over 1600m, 10 len behind Marine Parade carrying 55kg at $81. The start before that ran last of 11 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm58 on June 24 over 1600m, 10 len behind Got Yourself A Gun carrying 56kg at $101. Hard to get excited about.
15. 15. Sweet Liaison
J: MS DAKOTAH KEANET: N J HARNETT
F: 99707
Price History:
51.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
47
Days Since Last Run:
61
Verdict
Comes off a 61 day let-up. At the latest run eased back early on 7th of 10 at Moe 0 - 58 on August 18 over 2447m, slow going 7 len behind High Society Girl with 52kg at $26. The start before that 10th of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm64 on August 5 over 2200m, 10 len behind Mercian Hymn with 54kg at $101. Looks safely held.

Non-Runners

2. Procureable
J: EMILY POZMANT: PETER G MOODY & KATHERINE COLEMAN
F: x2x63
Price History:
2.40
Age:
5
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
1
5. 5. Zaaffair Steal
J: JAMIE MOTTT: JULIUS SANDHU
F: 04312
Price History:
7.00
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
16
6. 6. Finale
J: JAKE NOONANT: CLIFF BROWN
F: 67x31
Price History:
4.75
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
60
Days Since Last Run:
17
Verdict
Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming sat on the pace when 3rd of 12 at Geelong F&M Mdn-Sw on September 13 over 1340m, 1.5 len behind Kokako carrying 58kg at $4. Last start favourite; ran on from midfield and won by 2.5 len at Tatura Mdn-Sw October 1 over 1450m defeating Stage Master with 57.5kg at $1.30. Has to be respected.
4. 4. Grey Northern
J: THOMAS STOCKDALET: SIMON ZAHRA
F: 8x740
Price History:
13.00
Age:
5
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
13
11. 11. Pahi Lass
J: JORDAN CHILDST: ANDREW FORSMAN
F: 4767x
Price History:
41.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
56
Days Since Last Run:
162
Verdict
Resuming. Finished off last preparation when last of 7 at this track 0 - 64 May 9 over 1600m, 10 len behind Bob The Horse with 55kg at $21. First up last campaign ran last of 8 at Taupo September 15 2023 over 1400m, 8 len behind Drum Major carrying 52.5kg at $14.30. Other runners rate better.

Pakenham

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