Newcastle

Today, December 13, 2024Flat7f

Verdict

STRONG TRADE (5) finds a well-used claim first up and scored a city maiden win in good style last prep. Interesting trip to resume at but two recent trials have been above par. Genuine claims first up. LUSKAIRE (7) has found a higher level this time in and put a small field away with authority last start. Drawn poorly but with a well-used claim should put himself into the picture from the get go. DANCES WITH HOOVES (2) gets a look at a lesser grade after just battling on at his past two starts. Two-time winner at the mile who cops a weight whack and a wide draw but should still deliver an improved number. LADY SAVANNAH (10) finds a stiffer test but arrives here via some deep looking races of late. Been nursed up to a mile slowly and looks capable of measuring up. Market watch advised.

5. Strong Trade
7. Luskaire
2. Dances With Hooves

Win Only

5. 5. Strong Trade
J: BRAITH NOCKT: PETER SNOWDEN
F: 62x17
Price History:
4.75
Age:
3
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
37
Verdict
Third-up today. Comes off a 37 day let-up. Resuming favourite; won by a nose at Warwick Farm Super Mdn-Sw October 23 over 1300m defeating Superhero carrying 56.5kg at $7. Last start second last of 8 at Hawkesbury Bm64 on November 7 over 1500m, 2.75 len behind Mah Ali with 60kg at $3. Can bounce back.
7. 7. Luskaire
J: MOLLIE FITZGERALDT: ANNABEL NEASHAM & ROB ARCHIBALD
F: 68x51
Price History:
5.50
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
59
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Third-up today. First-up settled back and ran on when 5th of 10 at Kembla Grange Cg&E Cl1 on November 16 over 1200m, on a slow track; 4.5 len behind Llewellyn with 53.5kg at $11. Second-up favourite; scored a big 4 len win at this track Cl1 December 1 over 1500m on a rain affected track defeating Sanctuary Storm with 53.5kg at $2.80. Racing well. Will be in this for a long way.
4. 4. Irish Bliss
J: WILLIAM A STANLEYT: NATHAN DOYLE
F: 42x18
Price History:
7.00
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
64
Days Since Last Run:
23
Verdict
Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming won by 1.4 len at this track Prov Cl1 November 2 over 1300m on a soft track defeating How Much Better carrying 59kg at $2.30. Second run from a spell didn't do much in the run home; ran last of 8 at Hawkesbury Cond Bm68 on November 21 over 1400m, 8 len behind Fiddlers Green with 59kg at $6.50. Well placed. Fitter and rates a key chance this line-up.
10. 10. Lady Savannah
J: ANDREW ADKINST: M, W & J HAWKES
F: 9414
Price History:
7.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
59
Days Since Last Run:
23
Verdict
Useful type. Most recently 4th of 9 at Hawkesbury Cl1 on November 21 over 1400m, 4 len behind Shangri La Spring with 55kg at $6. The race before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at this track F&M Mdn November 2 over 1300m in soft going defeating Amusing carrying 57kg at $3.50. Has been racing well. Can improve and is worth thought.
8. 8. Kings Duty
J: ANNA ROPERT: MARK MINERVINI
F: 55133
Price History:
7.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
58
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Racing well. Last start rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 9 at this track Cond Bm68 on December 7 over 1400m, on a slow track; head behind Alice Mae carrying 56.5kg at $6. Before that 3rd of 7 at Scone Cl3 on November 11 over 1400m, 0.9 len behind Sir Godric with 59kg at $4.50. In the mix again.
13. 13. Sanctuary Storm
J: HEAVELON VAN DER HOVENT: ANNABEL NEASHAM & ROB ARCHIBALD
F: 12
Price History:
10.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
55
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, came from midfield and won by 0.9 len at Bathurst Mdn November 16 over 1300m on a rain affected track defeating Share The Joy carrying 59kg at $4. Second-up 2nd in a small field at this track Cl1 on December 1 over 1500m, slow going 4 len behind Luskaire with 55kg at $3. This looks a difficult race for him to win.
2. 2. Dances With Hooves
J: -T: CAMERON CROCKETT
F: x6378
Price History:
10.00
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
68
Days Since Last Run:
35
Verdict
Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently ran last of 8 at Rosehill Bm78 on November 9 over 1800m, 4.5 len behind Modesty carrying 53kg at $8.50. Before that 7th of 12 at Coonabarabran C'bran Cupbm90 on October 27 over 1600m, 5 len behind Macleay with 55kg at $2.10. Meets a more suitable line up.
9. 9. Jessandi
J: -T: MACK GRIFFITH
F: x5381
Price History:
15.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
60
Days Since Last Run:
20
Verdict
Last start came from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Narromine Narromcup Bm86 November 24 over 1600m defeating Lockdown Gamble carrying 55kg at $14. The start before that 8th of 11 at Quirindi Ctry Bm66 on November 14 over 1600m, 2.75 len behind Magic Flyer carrying 58kg at $3.80. In this mix despite tackling a tougher assignment today.
1. 1. Sir Godric
J: MITCH STAPLEFORDT: KIM WAUGH
F: 58x16
Price History:
19.00
Age:
5
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
21
Verdict
Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a nose at Scone Cl3 November 11 over 1400m defeating Awesome Tycoon carrying 60kg at $15. Second-up eased back early on 6th of 8 at Wyong Prov Bm68 on November 23 over 1600m, 6 len behind Guzumped carrying 59.5kg at $13. Racing well. Willing to forgive the last run; can atone.
12. 12. Al Ras Blues
J: OLIVIA CHAMBERST: L J BRIDGE
F: 19646
Price History:
26.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
56
Days Since Last Run:
16
Verdict
At the latest run 6th of 8 at Hawkesbury Mid Cl1 on November 28 over 1600m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Jacob's Time carrying 55.5kg at $5. Before that came home strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 7 at Hawkesbury Bm64 on November 12 over 1300m, 1.5 len behind Bindi's Choice with 55.5kg at $17. Finds a nice race and can improve sharply.
14. 14. Ellenmac
J: KEAGAN LATHAMT: DALE WAGSTAFF
F: 24446
Price History:
26.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
53
Days Since Last Run:
10
Verdict
Last start 6th of 9 at Warwick Farm 5yo+ Mares Bm72 on December 4 over 1600m, 2.75 len behind Tavolo carrying 52kg at $21. The run before that eased back early on 4th of 8 at Tamworth Bm58 on December 2 over 1600m, 3 len behind Tigon Princess with 62.5kg at $6. Looking to others.
3. 3. Desert Voice
J: RORY HUTCHINGST: MITCHELL BEER
F: 64x09
Price History:
51.00
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
68
Days Since Last Run:
28
Verdict
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 11th of 14 at Warwick Farm Bm72 on October 23 over 1300m, 5 len behind Spanish Fox with 58kg at $81. Second run from a spell second last of 10 at this track F&M Bm78 on November 16 over 1400m, 7 len behind Watch My Girl carrying 54kg at $67. Struggling to make a case.

Non-Runners

6. 6. Bold Hoi Ho
J: -T: SALLY TAYLOR
F: x6241
Price History:
12.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
59
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Last start won by 3.5 len at Grafton Bm66 December 1 over 1600m in heavy going defeating Maurizma with 58.5kg at $5. The race before that ran on strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 11 at Kempsey Kempseycup Bm84 on November 8 over 1450m, 4 len behind Xtra Approval with 54kg at $4. Improvement required to threaten in this field.

Newcastle

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