Newcastle

Tomorrow, October 19, 2024Flat7fSoft

Verdict

AUDREY’S LANE (4) is a progressive mare who has pieced together three genuine runs since resuming. Needs to get past a sticky draw but has the right form to take this out. PASIMA (1) has had three well-spaced runs this time in and is proven at a mile. Fairly weighted back at provincial level and has genuine claims of an overdue win. CHILLY CHARLIE (3) looks a horse open to sharp improvement this campaign. Peaked on his run first up and second up record is bang on. Pay to follow. DRACO’S FIRE (5) is rock hard fit and deserves another chance at a mile after sticking on well from up on the speed in latest run. Each-way hope.

4. Audreys Lane
1. Pasima
3. Chilly Charlie

Win Only

4. 4. Audreys Lane
J: RORY HUTCHINGST: BRAD WIDDUP
F: 9x352
Price History:
4.20
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
63
Days Since Last Run:
16
Verdict
Most recently held ground to the line 2nd of 7 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on October 3 over 1600m, on rain affected going; neck behind Satness with 56kg at $2.30. The run before that 5th of 7 at Randwick Kensington F&M Bm72 on September 11 over 1400m, 1.75 len behind Makena with 53kg at $7. Making headway. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.
10. 10. Kenmare Bay
J: SAM CLIPPERTONT: JOHN O'SHEA & TOM CHARLTON
F: 5312
Price History:
4.20
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
60
Days Since Last Run:
46
Verdict
Useful gelding. Returns from a 46-day let-up. At the latest run set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 at this track Cl1-Sw on September 3 over 1900m, 2 len behind Image Of The Sun with 57.5kg at $1.60. The start before that favourite; won by a head at Kembla Grange Super Mdn August 17 over 1600m on a rain affected track defeating Sunshine Law with 56kg at $2.50. Likely to feature.
5. 5. Dracos Fire
J: MOLLIE FITZGERALDT: ANNABEL NEASHAM & ROB ARCHIBALD
F: 6x253
Price History:
6.50
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
59
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 8 at this track Cl1 on October 5 over 1400m, 1.5 len behind Evenflow carrying 55.5kg at $5.50. The start before that second last in a small field at this track 3&4yo Bm64 on September 21 over 1600m, 0.9 len behind Rush Attack carrying 58.5kg at $4. Made headway last time. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.
13. 13. All Gucci
J: ANDREW CALDERT: RON LEEMON
F: 813
Price History:
8.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
55
Days Since Last Run:
16
Verdict
Going well. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn; 3rd of 7 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on October 3 over 1600m, on a wet track; 1.5 len behind Satness carrying 56.5kg at $12. The start before that won by 0.9 len at Goulburn Mdn-Sw September 13 over 1400m defeating Placid Pearl carrying 59kg at $9.50. Rates highly and is in the mix.
1. 1. Pasima
J: BENJAMIN OSMONDT: CIARON MAHER
F: 0x337
Price History:
7.50
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
12
Verdict
At the latest run 7th of 10 at Warwick Farm Cg&E Bm72 on October 7 over 1600m, 5 len behind Ambassadorial carrying 55kg at $11. The run before that got back early 3rd in a small field at Hawkesbury Cl1 on September 12 over 1600m, 2.75 len behind Cristal Clear carrying 60kg at $3.80. Solid top-three hope.
2. 2. Aichi Icon
J: ALYSHA COLLETTT: ANNABEL NEASHAM & ROB ARCHIBALD
F: 19x51
Price History:
12.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
22
Verdict
Third-up today. Resuming 5th of 10 at Hawkesbury Bm64 on September 12 over 1400m, 4.5 len behind House Of Cards with 58.5kg at $13. Second-up favourite; won by 1.4 len at Scone Cl2 September 27 over 1600m in the wet defeating Last Straw carrying 60kg at $2.60. Hard to beat again.
14. 14. Outlander
J: JEFF PENZAT: P & M CAVE
F: 5x662
Price History:
15.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
54
Days Since Last Run:
18
Verdict
Most recently came from midfield; 2nd of 10 at this track Mid Cl1 on October 1 over 1500m, on a slow track; neck behind Master Riley carrying 53.5kg at $4. Before that second last of 7 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on September 19 over 1500m, 2.5 len behind Interjection carrying 55kg at $19. Needs to take another step to compete against these.
3. 3. Chilly Charlie
J: LOUISE DAYT: CIARON MAHER
F: 816x4
Price History:
21.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
60
Days Since Last Run:
21
Verdict
Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 8 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on September 28 over 1400m, on heavy track; 6 len behind Struff with 59kg at $7.50. Previously second-up won by 2.5 len at Kembla Grange Super Mdn-Sw April 27 over 1500m defeating Monte Braveheart with 58.5kg at $2.50. Can improve sharply.
7. 7. Cicada
J: HEAVELON VAN DER HOVENT: ANNABEL NEASHAM & ROB ARCHIBALD
F: 410x7
Price History:
17.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
56
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Second run back. First-up after a year second last of 8 at this track Cl1 on October 5 over 1400m, 7 len behind Evenflow carrying 58kg at $15. Previously second-up won by 1.4 len at Scone Cl1-Sw August 21 2023 over 1600m in soft going defeating Omians carrying 55kg at $2.10. No easier this time and happy to leave out.
11. 11. Ladyking
J: ANDREW ADKINST: JOHN O'SHEA & TOM CHARLTON
F: 531x9
Price History:
23.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
59
Days Since Last Run:
11
Verdict
Second-up. First-up after four months 9th of 11 at Goulburn Cl1 on October 8 over 1400m, 10 len behind Welcometobarbados with 59kg at $9. Previously second-up 9th of 12 at Scone Cl1-Sw on March 22 over 1700m, on a slow track; 5 len behind Silent Russian carrying 55kg at $5. Can't entertain until she offers something more.
15. 15. Outcast Girl
J: DEANNE PANYAT: MARC CONNERS
F: 504x5
Price History:
34.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
53
Days Since Last Run:
18
Verdict
Second run back. First-up after three months 5th of 10 at this track Mid Cl1 on October 1 over 1500m, on a slow track; 4.5 len behind Master Riley with 55.5kg at $3.30. Previously second-up favourite; was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 1.2 len at this track F&M Mdn May 9 over 1350m on a rain affected track defeating Overwatch carrying 56.5kg at $1.80. Is a second up winner in the past but others rate better.
9. 9. Flying Step
J: BEANY PANYAT: BRUCE CROSS
F: 823x7
Price History:
41.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
59
Days Since Last Run:
17
Verdict
Dual acceptor. Second-up. First-up after five months got back early 7th of 9 at Rosehill F&M Bm72 on October 2 over 1300m, slow going 4.5 len behind Pippie Beach with 54.5kg at $151. Previously second-up second last of 10 at Warwick Farm F&M Bm72 on April 19 2023 over 1200m, 6 len behind Look Only with 57kg at $61. Expecting her to kick on with that first run out of the way.
16. 16. Alastor
J: JENNY DUGGANT: JOHN COOPER
F: 69x08
Price History:
71.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
52
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up ran last of 12 at this track 5yo+ Bm64 on September 20 over 1500m, 10 len behind Behind The Storm carrying 56.5kg at $101. Second-up 8th of 11 at Cootamundra Coota Cup Bm83 on October 6 over 1600m, 8 len behind Louie's Legacy carrying 55kg at $151. Disappointing of late and others rate better.

Non-Runners

6. Subuki
J: -T: WAYNE BROWN
F: 46238
Price History:
13.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
63
Days Since Last Run:
1
Verdict
At the latest run 3rd of 11 at Port Macquarie Cup Prel Bm83 on September 29 over 1800m, on a slow track; 4 len behind Prime Impact with 56kg at $11. The run before that 2nd of 10 at Scone Bm82 on August 30 over 1600m, 1.2 len behind Vincenzo carrying 56kg at $3. Hard to fault of late but this looks tough.
12. Torie's Rose
J: JEAN VAN OVERMEIRET: ANTHONY CUMMINGS
F: 24216
Price History:
23.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
56
Days Since Last Run:
8
Verdict
Most recently got back early 6th of 11 at Canberra Cl1-Sw on October 11 over 1600m, 5 len behind Tulsi with 57kg at $11. Before that raced right near the speed and boxed on; won by a long-neck at Hawkesbury Prov Mdn September 12 over 1500m defeating More Voltage carrying 55.5kg at $4. Sure to figure if she runs up to her best.

Newcastle

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