Cranbourne

Tomorrow, December 13, 2024Flat4f

Verdict

HOLLYWOOD ACE (1) showed great improvement for a canny conditioner last time in, winning two of five, so should have come on even further from the break which was backed up by a recent second placing in a Cranbourne jumpout containing horses tiers above this grade (Katsu, Mrs Chrissie among them). Well-placed to resume with a win. AMINATU (2) is a regular in these sorts of races and although mixing form of late, he is coming off a poor showing last time out. LOVING MANDY (3), conversely, is an improver who returned with a win and looks to have plenty of upside. SHAMROCK BAY (4) beat home MARBILLA (5) last time at Caulfield's Heath track but they both have claims.

1. Hollywood Ace
2. Aminatu
3. Loving Mandy

Win Only

6. 6. Room For Bingo
J: REMI TREMSALT: REBECCA WAYMOUTH
F: 215x4
Price History:
2.63
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
15
Verdict
Second run back. First-up after six months crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 4th of 12 at Caulfield Heath 0-64 on November 28 over 1000m, 2.75 len behind Stokke carrying 57kg at $10. Previously second-up 2nd of 9 at this track Mdn-Sw on April 5 over 1000m, on a slow track; 0.5 len behind Harry Got Styles with 57kg at $4. Will need this run.
1. 1. Hollywood Ace
J: BEAU MERTENST: GAVIN BEDGGOOD
F: 3114x
Price History:
4.00
Age:
4
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
66
Days Since Last Run:
128
Verdict
Resumes after a break of four-and-a-half months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last preparation fourth of 10 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm64 August 7 over 1300m, soft track; 1.5 len behind Prevailed with 59kg at $21. First up last campaign third of 9 at Pakenham Synthetic 3yo Mdn-Sw July 1 over 1000m, 5.5 len behind Bold Print with 56kg at $13. Was an improver last prep and strikes the right race first-up.
5. 5. Marbilla
J: DANIEL MOORT: JASON WARREN
F: 29x53
Price History:
4.00
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
15
Verdict
Third-up today. First-up 5th of 12 at Seymour Bm58 on November 15 over 1000m, 3 len behind Hybrid Moments with 57kg at $5.50. Last start ran on from midfield; 3rd of 12 at Caulfield Heath 0-64 on November 28 over 1000m, 2.75 len behind Stokke with 57kg at $26. Solid top-three hope.
2. 2. Aminatu
J: LOGAN BATEST: TREVOR ROGERS
F: 72029
Price History:
6.50
Age:
7
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Most recently ran last of 9 at Moonee Valley Mares Bm64 on November 29 over 1200m, 13 len behind Apache Song carrying 58.5kg at $10. The run before that came from midfield; 2nd of 10 at Bairnsdale Bm58 on November 19 over 1000m, 0.8 len behind Beaukati with 58.5kg at $3.50. High among the list of chances.
3. 3. Loving Mandy
J: JAMIE GIBBONST: DWAYNE REID
F: 716x1
Price History:
7.50
Age:
4
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
20
Verdict
Second run back. First-up after nine months won by a nose at Tatura Bm64 November 23 over 1000m defeating Bridie's Luck with 55kg at $12. Previously second-up ran on from midfield and won by a neck at Bendigo Mdn-Sw February 27 over 1000m defeating Barnage carrying 57kg at $9. No reason she cannot get the job done again.
8. 8. Arroance
J: JADE DAROSET: R C MANNING
F: 94832
Price History:
15.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
52
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at Moe Bm58 on December 6 over 1000m, neck behind Not Enough Effort carrying 54.5kg at $26. The run before that raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 10 at Bairnsdale Bm58 on November 19 over 1000m, 0.9 len behind Beaukati carrying 54.5kg at $17. Will find this tougher.
7. 7. Sandrine
J: ZOE WALLERT: ERIN MAHER
F: 49537
Price History:
19.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
53
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
At the latest run sat behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 11 at Naracoorte 0-54 on November 29 over 1100m, on a slow track; 4.5 len behind Jimmys Edge with 56.5kg at $11. The race before that 3rd of 12 at Berrigan Bm50 on November 2 over 1100m, 0.9 len behind Mighty Feat carrying 56.5kg at $5. Hard to have this tough line-up.

Cranbourne

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