Ascot

Saturday, November 23, 2024Flat7fSoft

Verdict

The W.A. Guineas now and SEPTEMBER BORN (3) looks the one to beat. He lived up to expectations in the Fairetha when winning comfortably by 0.5L and he maps for a much better run in transit today. Can sit just off the speed and announce himself as a star of the future. STORYVILLE (14) looks the main danger following a dominant win in the Champion Fillies last week when rattling home in quick time. Suspect she'll get back in the run once again for Pike, but she creates plenty of interest on the 7-day back up. EXCEED THE PLANET (7) is still a maiden but has been close in both lead-ups to the Guineas. He's been right there with September Born in his past couple and the extra trip shouldn't be an issue. Wouldn't surprise to see him go close again. OLYMPIC PARK (5) wasn't disgraced last start and can be in the finish once again. SKULL BONE AND PIG (11) was scratched on Wednesday to run here and gets McDonald in the saddle.

3. September Born
14. Storyville
7. Exceed The Planet

Win Only

3. 3. September Born
J: BRAD PARNHAMT: NEVILLE PARNHAM
F: 1x21
Price History:
2.25
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
78
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 13 at this track in the LR Belgravia on October 26 over 1200m, neck behind West Star carrying 56kg at $2.80. Last start favourite; came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at this track LR Fairetha November 9 over 1400m defeating Exceed The Planet carrying 55kg at $2.30. Could be a star in the making.
14. 14. Storyville
J: WILLIAM PIKET: G & A WILLIAMS
F: x1581
Price History:
4.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
76
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Last start won by 1.75 len at this track G3 Champ Fillies November 16 over 1600m defeating Ron's Finalflutter with 56kg at $8. The start before that got back early 8th of 14 at this track in the LR Burgess Queen on November 5 over 1400m, 2.75 len behind London's Image with 54kg at $7.50. Dominant last start and can go back-to-back.
13. 13. Londons Image
J: DECLAN BATEST: RYAN HILL
F: x5112
Price History:
12.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
76
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Form hard to fault. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 16 at this track in the LR Placid Ark on November 16 over 1200m, 0.6 len behind Wind And The Lion with 55kg at $15. The start before that won by a head at this track LR Burgess Queen November 5 over 1400m defeating Ron's Finalflutter carrying 55kg at $41. Game in the Placid Ark last week but the mile is a worry.
5. 5. Olympic Park
J: CLINT JOHNSTON-PORTERT: MICHAEL GRANTHAM
F: 113
Price History:
11.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
69
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Form hard to fault. At the latest run 3rd of 13 at this track in the LR Fairetha on November 9 over 1400m, 2.25 len behind September Born with 55kg at $6.50. Before that won by a neck at this track Grad Hcp 59+ October 26 over 1400m defeating Harbin carrying 54kg at $4.50. Only fair last start but can bounce off that.
7. 7. Exceed The Planet
J: PATRICK CARBERYT: SUE OLIVE
F: 2x532
Price History:
11.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
70
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Going well. Most recently 2nd of 13 at this track in the LR Fairetha on November 9 over 1400m, 0.5 len behind September Born with 54kg at $21. Before that made ground from midfield; 3rd of 13 at this track in the LR Belgravia on October 26 over 1200m, 0.9 len behind West Star with 55kg at $151. Went close last time. Hard to knock on recent form and has to be included.
4. 4. Elite Missile
J: CHRIS PARNHAMT: STEPHEN MILLER
F: 12x10
Price History:
17.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
71
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Third-up today. First-up favourite; was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by a nose at this track 3yo Plate October 19 over 1400m defeating Hez Got The Safe carrying 58kg at $10. Second-up second last of 12 at this track Rtg 66+ on November 9 over 1400m, 3 len behind Yarralea carrying 54.5kg at $3. Brings different form into this and gets the blinkers on.
11. 11. Skull Bone And Pig
J: JAMES MCDONALDT: LUKE FERNIE
F: 3x3
Price History:
17.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
64
Days Since Last Run:
21
Verdict
Third race start. First start 3rd of 10 at Belmont Park 2yo Swp on June 22 over 1000m, slow going 2.75 len behind September Born with 56kg at $19. Went for a break before returning came from midfield; 3rd of 10 at this track Pa Prelude on November 2 over 1000m, 1.5 len behind Repossession carrying 55kg at $17. Needs a touch of luck but the ability looks to be there.
16. 16. Flower Of Gold
J: JORDAN TURNERT: SIMON A MILLER
F: x1133
Price History:
21.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
68
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
Racing well. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield; 3rd of 11 at this track in the G3 Champ Fillies on November 16 over 1600m, 2.75 len behind Storyville carrying 56kg at $3. The start before that 3rd of 14 at this track in the LR Burgess Queen on November 5 over 1400m, head behind London's Image with 54kg at $4.50. Needs an ounce of luck but the wide draw is a big worry.
15. 15. Rons Finalflutter
J: STEVEN PARNHAMT: D MORTON
F: x1322
Price History:
26.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
70
Days Since Last Run:
7
Verdict
At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at this track in the G3 Champ Fillies on November 16 over 1600m, 1.75 len behind Storyville with 56kg at $4. The start before that made ground from midfield; 2nd of 14 at this track in the LR Burgess Queen on November 5 over 1400m, head behind London's Image carrying 54kg at $6.50. Good through the Fillies but this looks a little tougher.
9. 9. The Merryman
J: MARK ZAHRAT: SIMON A MILLER
F: 137
Price History:
26.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
62
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Since last run he has trialed at Lark Hill over 950m on 18/11/2024; Last run 7th of 13 at this track in the LR Fairetha on November 9 over 1400m, 5 len behind September Born carrying 54kg at $5. The run before third of 10 at this track 3yo Plate October 19 over 1400m, a nose behind Elite Missile with 56kg at $16. Looks tested.
2. 2. Street Band
J: JARRAD NOSKET: T M ANDREWS
F: 3x978
Price History:
34.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
71
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Last start got back early 8th of 13 at this track in the LR Fairetha on November 9 over 1400m, 5 len behind September Born with 55.5kg at $26. The start before that got back early 7th of 13 at this track in the LR Belgravia on October 26 over 1200m, 3 len behind West Star carrying 56.5kg at $26. Would need be at his very best.
1. 1. Big Shots
J: NASH RAWILLERT: LUKE FERNIE
F: 36x90
Price History:
41.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
71
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 9th of 13 at this track in the LR Belgravia on October 26 over 1200m, 5 len behind West Star carrying 59kg at $41. Last start ran last of 13 at this track in the LR Fairetha on November 9 over 1400m, 10 len behind September Born carrying 58kg at $101. Can't have him in this field.
10. 10. Patron Express
J: LUCY FIORET: JASON MILLER
F: 314
Price History:
41.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
64
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Most recently 4th of 13 at this track in the LR Fairetha on November 9 over 1400m, 3.5 len behind September Born with 54kg at $15. Before that won by 0.6 len at Northam 3yo Mdn October 27 over 1400m defeating Smart Energy carrying 57kg at $1.90. Others are better credentialed.
8. 8. King Hit
J: SHAUN O'DONNELLT: T M ANDREWS
F: x9411
Price History:
41.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
10
Verdict
At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily; won by 0.8 len at Belmont Park 3yo 0Mwly November 13 over 1400m defeating Spice Is Right carrying 59kg at $3. The run before that won by 2.5 len at Northam Mdn October 31 over 1400m defeating Highly Spoken with 56kg at $2.10. In winning form but this is much, much tougher.
12. 12. Rally The Troops
J: SHAUN MCGRUDDYT: DANIEL & BEN PEARCE
F: 0x813
Price History:
151.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
60
Days Since Last Run:
18
Verdict
At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 10 at this track Cl1 on November 5 over 1500m, 1.0 len behind Cashel Palace carrying 58kg at $2.50. The run before that favourite; won by 1.4 len at Geraldton Mdn October 24 over 1400m defeating A Lot Of Class with 56kg at $3. Happy to oppose.
6. 6. Pond Master
J: JOSEPH AZZOPARDIT: TAKAHIDE IKENUSHI
F: 23110
Price History:
126.00
Age:
3
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
65
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
At the latest run 11th of 13 at this track in the LR Fairetha on November 9 over 1400m, 6 len behind September Born carrying 54kg at $26. The start before that settled well back; won by a neck at Belmont Park Cl1 October 30 over 1650m defeating Rocking Society carrying 58kg at $2.90. Prefer to see in something easier.

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